Seasonal Prediction of Extreme Ocean Temperatures/Coral Bleaching (forecast tool)


This web-based forecast tool provides seasonal forecasts of ocean temperature and coral bleaching risk. These forecasts are generated using the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA). This is a global ocean-atmosphere coupled ensemble seasonal forecast system developed jointly by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) and the CSIRO Division of Marine and Atmospheric Research (CMAR). 

Gridded forecasts for ocean temperature and thermal stress, and associated skill maps, are presented using a navigable map overlain with geospatial information. Both deterministic and probabilistic forecasts are available.

These forecasts were developed as part of PACCSAP Project 1.1.3.

  • Relationship to other tools: The Seasonal Prediction of Extreme Ocean Temperatures and Coral Bleaching Tool is linked to the Seasonal Prediction of Sea Level Anomalies in the Western Pacific Tool. Forecast outlooks for both tools are generated via the POAMA seasonal prediction model. This tool is accessible to interested users who apply to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology to use the tool. Meteorological agencies from PACCSAP partner countries in the Pacific are the primary users of this tool.

 

Link to the Seasonal prediction of extreme ocean temperatures/coral bleaching website.


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Detailed Descriptions
Dataset
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/pacific/about-seasonal-extremes.shtml
040503 - Physical Oceanography, 050101 - Ecological Impacts of Climate Change, 040104 - Climate Change Processes
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/pacific/index-pacific.shtml http://www.pacificclimatechangescience.org/ http://www.environment.gov.au/climate-change/adaptation/international-climate-change-adaptation-initiative/paccsap
Geographic and Temporal Extents
Start 1982/01/01 Start text End 2010/12/31 End text
Attributions and Constraints
© Copyright pacificclimatechangescience.org. All Rights Reserved.
CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Bureau of Meteorology
Aurel Griesser a.griesser@bom.gov.au Claire Spillman c.spillman@bom.gov.au